Girona vs Mallorca Prediction & Tips

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Spain - La Liga Regular Season - 34 Estadio Municipal de Montilivi· Girona Friday, May 1, 2026 19:00

Girona PPG 1.38

0-1 MISS

Mallorca PPG 0.38

Away· +6.9% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...

55% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 41.0%

Odds: 2.02 EV: -17.2%

Draw 29.3%

Odds: 3.35 EV: -1.8%

Away 29.7%

Odds: 3.60 EV: +6.9%

Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Away ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 50.5% Odds: 1.80 -9.1%

Over 3.5 28.4% Odds: 3.00 -14.8%

BTTS 56.2% Odds: 1.65 -7.3%

O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 2-1 ✘

3rd 0-0 ✘

4th 1-0 ✘

5th 1-2 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Girona

1.47

Mallorca

1.22

Model SuggestionBTTS -7.3% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -7.3% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 
Highest raw EV: Away (+6.9%) — probability too low to qualify.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...

55%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: AVERAGE form (1.38) vs P(Home)=41.0%