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Juventude W vs Cruzeiro W Prediction— Brazil - Brasileiro Women

Regular Season - 9 ·Friday, May 1, 2026, 18:00

Juventude W

PPG 0.33 · HOME

0 – 0

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · AWAY

Cruzeiro W

PPG 1.50 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Away

Away momentum: GOOD form (1.50) vs Home POOR (0.33)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-011.0%0-115.7%0-211.3%0-35.4%0-4+2.6%1 1-08.5%1-112.2%1-28.7%1-34.2%1-4+2.0%2 2-03.3%2-14.7%2-23.4%2-31.6%2-4+0.8%3 3-00.9%3-11.2%3-20.9%3-30.4%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-00.2%4+-10.3%4+-20.2%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 18.5% — — —

Draw 30.7% — — —

Away win 50.8% — — —

Over 2.5 37.9% — — —

Over 3.5 18.2% — — —

BTTS 42.9% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 36 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 44%

O2.5 50%

BTTS 58%

Score Hit 44%

ROI -30.5%

Bet Hit 42%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

0 – 2 46%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-0

xG (home)0.8 xG (away)1.4 BTTS prob42.9%

A 51% / xG 0.8-1.4 / U2.5 38% / NoBTTS 43%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.2%

#2 0–1 15.7%

#3 0–0✓ 11.0%

#4 0–2 11.3%

#5 1–2 8.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Juventude W0.8

Cruzeiro W1.4

COMBINED 2.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 37.9% · O3.5 PROB 18.2%

Form & verdict PPG

JUVENTUDE W · PPG 0.33

CRUZEIRO W · PPG 1.50

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value

63%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: GOOD form (1.50) vs Home POOR (0.33)

Win probability 1X2

Juventude W (H) 18.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 30.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Cruzeiro W (A) 50.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Juventude W face Cruzeiro W in Brazil - Brasileiro Women on Friday, May 1, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Juventude W a 19% chance, the draw 31% and Cruzeiro W 51%, so Cruzeiro W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.8 for Juventude W and 1.4 for Cruzeiro W (2.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 38% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 43% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Juventude W are averaging 0.33 points per game versus 1.50 for Cruzeiro W. This match finished 0-0.

Juventude W vs Cruzeiro W Prediction— Brazil - Brasileiro Women

Match Preview & Prediction

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