Today / Wiener SC vs Marchfeld

Wiener SC vs Marchfeld Prediction

Friday, May 1, 2026

Wiener SC

PPG 1.33 · HOME

0 – 0

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · BTTS

Marchfeld

PPG 1.08 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.33), Away AVERAGE (1.08)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.5%0-18.6%0-26.7%0-33.5%0-4+1.9%1 1-07.4%1-111.5%1-29.0%1-34.7%1-4+2.6%2 2-04.9%2-17.7%2-26.0%2-33.1%2-4+1.7%3 3-02.2%3-13.4%3-22.7%3-31.4%3-4+0.8%4+ 4+-01.0%4+-11.5%4+-21.2%4+-30.6%4+-4+0.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 31.0% — — —

Draw 28.1% — — —

Away win 40.9% — — —

Over 2.5 55.4% — — —

Over 3.5 33.0% — — —

BTTS 60.0% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 2 45%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-0

xG (home)1.3 xG (away)1.6 BTTS prob60.0%

D 28% / xG 1.3-1.6 / O2.5 55% / BTTS 60%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.5%

#2 1–2 9.0%

#3 2–1 7.7%

#4 0–0✓ 5.5%

#5 0–1 8.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Wiener SC1.3

Marchfeld1.6

COMBINED 2.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 55.4% · O3.5 PROB 33.0%

Form & verdict PPG

WIENER SC · PPG 1.33

MARCHFELD · PPG 1.08

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.33), Away AVERAGE (1.08)

Win probability 1X2

Wiener SC (H) 31.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 28.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Marchfeld (A) 40.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Wiener SC face Marchfeld on Friday, May 1, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Wiener SC a 31% chance, the draw 28% and Marchfeld 41%, so Marchfeld are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Wiener SC and 1.6 for Marchfeld (2.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 55% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 60% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Wiener SC are averaging 1.33 points per game versus 1.08 for Marchfeld. This match finished 0-0.

Wiener SC vs Marchfeld Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

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