Today / Lausanne B vs BSC Y. Boys B

Lausanne B vs BSC Y. Boys B Prediction

Friday, May 1, 2026

Lausanne B
PPG 1.36 · HOME
1 – 0
FULL TIME
✘ MODEL PICK MISS · O2.5
BSC Y. Boys B
PPG 1.71 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 4.1 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.6%0-13.8%0-24.6%0-33.7%0-4+3.9%1 1-02.8%1-16.6%1-28.0%1-36.4%1-4+6.7%2 2-02.4%2-15.8%2-26.9%2-35.6%2-4+5.9%3 3-01.4%3-13.4%3-24.0%3-33.2%3-4+3.4%4+ 4+-00.9%4+-12.2%4+-22.6%4+-32.1%4+-4+2.2%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 27.0%
Draw 21.4%
Away win 51.6%
Over 2.5 78.2%
Over 3.5 59.4%
BTTS 76.0%
Home O1.5
Away O1.5

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 3 57%CONFIDENCE
✘ MISS — FT 1-0
xG (home)1.7 xG (away)2.4 BTTS prob76.0%

A 52% / xG 1.7-2.4 / O2.5 78% / BTTS 76%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–2 8.0%
#2 1–1 6.6%
#3 2–2 6.9%
#4 1–3 6.4%
#5 2–1 5.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Lausanne B1.7
BSC Y. Boys B2.4

COMBINED 4.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 78.2% · O3.5 PROB 59.4%

Form & verdict PPG

LAUSANNE B · PPG 1.36

BSC Y. BOYS B · PPG 1.71

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value
45%
DANGER

Home weakness: AVERAGE (1.36) vs Away GOOD (1.71)

Win probability 1X2

Lausanne B (H) 27.0%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 21.4%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
BSC Y. Boys B (A) 51.6%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Lausanne B face BSC Y. Boys B on Friday, May 1, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Lausanne B a 27% chance, the draw 21% and BSC Y. Boys B 52%, so BSC Y. Boys B are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.7 for Lausanne B and 2.4 for BSC Y. Boys B (4.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-2. There is a 78% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 76% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Lausanne B are averaging 1.36 points per game versus 1.71 for BSC Y. Boys B. This match finished 1-0.

PredictVantage

Free daily football predictions across 240+ leagues. A Poisson-based model analyses team form, attack and defence strength, and live bookmaker odds to surface value bets — updated every day, graded every night.

18+ only. PredictVantage is for entertainment and informational purposes only. All predictions are model-generated and do not guarantee any outcome. Match dates and kick-off times come from third-party data and may change — confirm with official sources before betting. Gambling involves risk — never bet more than you can afford to lose. BeGambleAware.org