Today / Gloggnitz vs Leobendorf

Gloggnitz vs Leobendorf Prediction

Friday, May 1, 2026

Gloggnitz

PPG 2.31 · HOME

UPCOMING

Leobendorf

PPG 2.08 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Balanced matchup: Home EXCELLENT (2.31), Away EXCELLENT (2.08)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.6%0-17.2%0-24.6%0-32.0%0-4+0.8%1 1-08.9%1-111.5%1-27.4%1-33.2%1-4+1.4%2 2-07.1%2-19.2%2-25.9%2-32.5%2-4+1.1%3 3-03.8%3-14.9%3-23.1%3-31.3%3-4+0.6%4+ 4+-02.2%4+-12.8%4+-21.8%4+-30.8%4+-4+0.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 42.9% — — —

Draw 28.0% — — —

Away win 29.2% — — —

Over 2.5 55.0% — — —

Over 3.5 32.7% — — —

BTTS 59.5% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 40%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.6 xG (away)1.3 BTTS prob59.5%

H 43% / xG 1.6-1.3 / O2.5 55% / BTTS 60%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.5%

#2 2–1 9.2%

#3 1–2 7.4%

#4 0–0 5.6%

#5 1–0 8.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Gloggnitz1.6

Leobendorf1.3

COMBINED 2.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 55.0% · O3.5 PROB 32.7%

Form & verdict PPG

GLOGGNITZ · PPG 2.31

LEOBENDORF · PPG 2.08

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home EXCELLENT (2.31), Away EXCELLENT (2.08)

Win probability 1X2

Gloggnitz (H) 42.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 28.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Leobendorf (A) 29.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Gloggnitz face Leobendorf on Friday, May 1, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Gloggnitz a 43% chance, the draw 28% and Leobendorf 29%, so Gloggnitz are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for Gloggnitz and 1.3 for Leobendorf (2.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 55% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 60% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Gloggnitz are averaging 2.31 points per game versus 2.08 for Leobendorf.

Gloggnitz vs Leobendorf Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

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