Today / Germany - Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg / Goppinger SV vs T. Neckarsulm

Goppinger SV vs T. Neckarsulm Prediction— Germany - Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg

Baden-Württemberg - 30 ·Friday, May 1, 2026, 16:30

Goppinger SV logo
Goppinger SV
PPG 1.14 · HOME
1 – 4
FULL TIME
✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS
T. Neckarsulm logo
T. Neckarsulm
PPG 1.29 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.14), Away AVERAGE (1.29)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.7%0-16.4%0-24.4%0-32.0%0-4+0.9%1 1-08.0%1-110.9%1-27.4%1-33.3%1-4+1.5%2 2-06.8%2-19.2%2-26.2%2-32.8%2-4+1.3%3 3-03.8%3-15.2%3-23.5%3-31.6%3-4+0.7%4+ 4+-02.4%4+-13.2%4+-22.2%4+-31.0%4+-4+0.5%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 43.7%
Draw 27.0%
Away win 29.3%
Over 2.5 58.8%
Over 3.5 36.4%
BTTS 62.2%
Home O1.5
Away O1.5

League track record

Based on 53 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 43%
O2.5 79%
BTTS 76%
Score Hit 32%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 48%CONFIDENCE
✘ MISS — FT 1-4
xG (home)1.7 xG (away)1.4 BTTS prob62.2%

H 44% / xG 1.7-1.4 / O2.5 59% / BTTS 62%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.9%
#2 2–1 9.2%
#3 1–2 7.4%
#4 2–0 6.8%
#5 1–0 8.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Goppinger SV1.7
T. Neckarsulm1.4

COMBINED 3.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 58.8% · O3.5 PROB 36.4%

Form & verdict PPG

GOPPINGER SV · PPG 1.14

T. NECKARSULM · PPG 1.29

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value
42%
BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.14), Away AVERAGE (1.29)

Win probability 1X2

Goppinger SV (H) 43.7%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 27.0%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
T. Neckarsulm (A) 29.3%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Goppinger SV face T. Neckarsulm in Germany - Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg on Friday, May 1, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Goppinger SV a 44% chance, the draw 27% and T. Neckarsulm 29%, so Goppinger SV are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.7 for Goppinger SV and 1.4 for T. Neckarsulm (3.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 59% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 62% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Goppinger SV are averaging 1.14 points per game versus 1.29 for T. Neckarsulm. This match finished 1-4.

PredictVantage

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