Resovia Rzeszow vs Kalisz Prediction— Poland - II Liga - East

Poland - II Liga - East Regular Season - 30 Stadion Miejski w Rzeszowie· Rzeszow Friday, May 1, 2026 16:00

Resovia Rzeszow PPG 1.57

0-1 MISS

Kalisz PPG 1.00

BTTS· -5.7% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Resovia Rzeszow face Kalisz in Poland - II Liga - East on Friday, May 1, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Resovia Rzeszow a 50% chance, the draw 28% and Kalisz 23%, so Resovia Rzeszow are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.7 for Resovia Rzeszow and 1.1 for Kalisz (2.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 52% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 56% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Resovia Rzeszow are averaging 1.57 points per game versus 1.00 for Kalisz. This match finished 0-1.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 49.6%

Odds: 1.73 EV: -14.2%

Draw 27.7%

Odds: 3.30 EV: -8.6%

Away 22.8%

Odds: 4.00 EV: -8.8%

Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Away ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 52.1% Odds: — —

Over 3.5 30.0% Odds: — —

BTTS 55.5% Odds: 1.70 -5.7%

O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 2-1 ✘

3rd 2-0 ✘

4th 1-0 ✘

5th 0-0 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Resovia Rzeszow

1.68

Kalisz

1.08

Model SuggestionBTTS -5.7% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -5.7% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 

League Track Record ↗

Based on 58 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 47%

O2.5/Under 50%

BTTS/No 53%

Score Hit 50%

ROI 23.1%

Bet Hit 71% (14 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.57) > Away AVERAGE (1.00)