St. Polten W vs Sturm Graz W Prediction— Austria - Frauenliga

Austria - Frauenliga Championship Group - 20 NV Arena Friday, May 1, 2026 16:00

St. Polten W PPG 2.30

2-0 HIT CS3

Sturm Graz W PPG 2.40

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

St. Polten W face Sturm Graz W in Austria - Frauenliga on Friday, May 1, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives St. Polten W a 60% chance, the draw 23% and Sturm Graz W 17%, so St. Polten W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.2 for St. Polten W and 1.1 for Sturm Graz W (3.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 63% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 60% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, St. Polten W are averaging 2.30 points per game versus 2.40 for Sturm Graz W. This match finished 2-0.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 60.3%

Odds: — EV: —

Draw 22.8%

Odds: — EV: —

Away 17.0%

Odds: — EV: —

Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 63.1% Odds: — —

Over 3.5 41.0% Odds: — —

BTTS 60.2% Odds: — —

O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 2-1 ✘

3rd 2-0 ✔

4th 3-1 ✘

5th 1-0 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

St. Polten W

2.16

Sturm Graz W

1.09

Model SuggestionOver 2.5  MODEL ONLY
ROI tracking: odds not available yet, so this is a model suggestion only.

League Track Record ↗

Based on 21 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 62%

O2.5/Under 67%

BTTS/No 48%

Score Hit 48%

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home EXCELLENT (2.30), Away EXCELLENT (2.40)