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Hollenbach vs T. Singen Prediction— Germany - Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg

Baden-Württemberg - 30 ·Friday, May 1, 2026, 12:30

Hollenbach

PPG 1.29 · HOME

2 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

T. Singen

PPG 1.20 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 4.0 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.9%0-13.0%0-22.4%0-31.3%0-4+0.7%1 1-04.5%1-17.2%1-25.7%1-33.0%1-4+1.7%2 2-05.4%2-18.5%2-26.8%2-33.6%2-4+2.0%3 3-04.2%3-16.7%3-25.3%3-32.8%3-4+1.6%4+ 4+-04.4%4+-17.0%4+-25.5%4+-32.9%4+-4+1.7%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 54.0% — — —

Draw 21.6% — — —

Away win 24.4% — — —

Over 2.5 75.6% — — —

Over 3.5 55.8% — — —

BTTS 73.2% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 53 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 43%

O2.5 79%

BTTS 76%

Score Hit 32%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 70%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-2

xG (home)2.4 xG (away)1.6 BTTS prob73.2%

H 54% / xG 2.4-1.6 / O2.5 76% / BTTS 73%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–1 8.5%

#2 1–1 7.2%

#3 2–2✓ 6.8%

#4 3–1 6.7%

#5 1–2 5.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Hollenbach2.4

T. Singen1.6

COMBINED 4.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 75.6% · O3.5 PROB 55.8%

Form & verdict PPG

HOLLENBACH · PPG 1.29

T. SINGEN · PPG 1.20

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.29), Away AVERAGE (1.20)

Win probability 1X2

Hollenbach (H) 54.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 21.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

T. Singen (A) 24.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Hollenbach face T. Singen in Germany - Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg on Friday, May 1, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Hollenbach a 54% chance, the draw 22% and T. Singen 24%, so Hollenbach are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.4 for Hollenbach and 1.6 for T. Singen (4.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-1. There is a 76% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 73% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Hollenbach are averaging 1.29 points per game versus 1.20 for T. Singen. This match finished 2-2.

Hollenbach vs T. Singen Prediction— Germany - Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg

Match Preview & Prediction

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