Henan SL face Liaoning Tieren on Friday, May 1, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Henan SL a 39% chance, the draw 34% and Liaoning Tieren 28%, so Henan SL are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Henan SL and 0.9 for Liaoning Tieren (2.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 35% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 44% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Henan SL are averaging 1.00 points per game versus 0.20 for Liaoning Tieren. This match finished 4-0.
Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.00) > Away POOR (0.20)