Today / Fortis vs Rahmatgonj

Fortis vs Rahmatgonj Prediction

Friday, May 1, 2026

Fortis

PPG 1.71 · HOME

3 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · HOME

Rahmatgonj

PPG 0.71 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.71) vs P(Home)=52.9%

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-010.9%0-18.1%0-23.0%0-30.7%0-4+0.2%1 1-016.1%1-111.9%1-24.4%1-31.1%1-4+0.2%2 2-011.9%2-18.8%2-23.3%2-30.8%2-4+0.2%3 3-05.8%3-14.3%3-21.6%3-30.4%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-03.0%4+-12.2%4+-20.8%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 52.9% — — —

Draw 30.1% — — —

Away win 17.0% — — —

Over 2.5 38.2% — — —

Over 3.5 18.4% — — —

BTTS 42.2% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 48%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 3-2

xG (home)1.5 xG (away)0.7 BTTS prob42.2%

H 53% / xG 1.5-0.7 / U2.5 38% / NoBTTS 42%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–0 16.1%

#2 1–1 11.9%

#3 0–0 10.9%

#4 2–0 11.9%

#5 2–1 8.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Fortis1.5

Rahmatgonj0.7

COMBINED 2.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 38.2% · O3.5 PROB 18.4%

Form & verdict PPG

FORTIS · PPG 1.71

RAHMATGONJ · PPG 0.71

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

55%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.71) vs P(Home)=52.9%

Win probability 1X2

Fortis (H) 52.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 30.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Rahmatgonj (A) 17.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Fortis face Rahmatgonj on Friday, May 1, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Fortis a 53% chance, the draw 30% and Rahmatgonj 17%, so Fortis are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.5 for Fortis and 0.7 for Rahmatgonj (2.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 38% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 42% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Fortis are averaging 1.71 points per game versus 0.71 for Rahmatgonj. This match finished 3-2.

Fortis vs Rahmatgonj Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

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