Today / B. Police vs PWD Sports Club

B. Police vs PWD Sports Club Prediction

Friday, May 1, 2026

B. Police

PPG 1.00 · HOME

1 – 0

FULL TIME

PWD Sports Club

PPG 1.00 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-09.6%0-18.8%0-24.1%0-31.2%0-4+0.3%1 1-013.6%1-112.6%1-25.8%1-31.8%1-4+0.5%2 2-09.7%2-19.0%2-24.1%2-31.3%2-4+0.4%3 3-04.6%3-14.2%3-22.0%3-30.6%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-02.2%4+-12.1%4+-21.0%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 46.8% — — —

Draw 30.7% — — —

Away win 22.5% — — —

Over 2.5 41.6% — — —

Over 3.5 21.0% — — —

BTTS 47.6% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 33%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-0

xG (home)1.4 xG (away)0.9 BTTS prob47.6%

H 47% / xG 1.4-0.9 / U2.5 42% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.6%

#2 1–0✓ 13.6%

#3 0–0 9.6%

#4 2–0 9.7%

#5 2–1 9.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

B. Police1.4

PWD Sports Club0.9

COMBINED 2.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 41.6% · O3.5 PROB 21.0%

Form & verdict PPG

B. POLICE · PPG 1.00

PWD SPORTS CLUB · PPG 1.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.00), Away AVERAGE (1.00)

Win probability 1X2

B. Police (H) 46.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 30.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

PWD Sports Club (A) 22.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

B. Police face PWD Sports Club on Friday, May 1, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives B. Police a 47% chance, the draw 31% and PWD Sports Club 23%, so B. Police are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for B. Police and 0.9 for PWD Sports Club (2.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 42% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, B. Police are averaging 1.00 points per game versus 1.00 for PWD Sports Club. This match finished 1-0.

B. Police vs PWD Sports Club Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

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