Today / Abahani vs Fakirerpool

Abahani vs Fakirerpool Prediction

Regular Season - 15 ·Friday, May 1, 2026

Abahani logo
Abahani
PPG 2.29 · HOME
2 – 0
FULL TIME
✓ MODEL PICK HIT · HOME
Fakirerpool logo
Fakirerpool
PPG 0.71 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

Home team in EXCELLENT form (2.29), Away POOR (0.71) - Strong consensus

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.9%0-13.0%0-21.1%0-30.3%0-4+0.1%1 1-09.7%1-17.4%1-22.8%1-30.7%1-4+0.2%2 2-012.0%2-19.1%2-23.5%2-30.9%2-4+0.2%3 3-010.0%3-17.6%3-22.9%3-30.7%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-011.2%4+-18.5%4+-23.2%4+-30.8%4+-4+0.2%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 74.0%
Draw 17.8%
Away win 8.3%
Over 2.5 62.9%
Over 3.5 40.7%
BTTS 49.9%
Home O1.5
Away O1.5

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

4 – 0 55%CONFIDENCE
✘ MISS — FT 2-0
xG (home)2.5 xG (away)0.8 BTTS prob49.9%

H 74% / xG 2.5-0.8 / O2.5 63% / NoBTTS 50%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–0 12.0%
#2 3–0 10.0%
#3 2–1 9.1%
#4 1–0 9.7%
#5 1–1 7.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Abahani2.5
Fakirerpool0.8

COMBINED 3.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 62.9% · O3.5 PROB 40.7%

Form & verdict PPG

ABAHANI · PPG 2.29

FAKIRERPOOL · PPG 0.71

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
66%
STRONG_HOME

Home team in EXCELLENT form (2.29), Away POOR (0.71) - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

Abahani (H) 74.0%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 17.8%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Fakirerpool (A) 8.3%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Abahani face Fakirerpool on Friday, May 1, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Abahani a 74% chance, the draw 18% and Fakirerpool 8%, so Abahani are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.5 for Abahani and 0.8 for Fakirerpool (3.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 63% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 50% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Abahani are averaging 2.29 points per game versus 0.71 for Fakirerpool. This match finished 2-0.

PredictVantage

Free daily football predictions across 240+ leagues. A Poisson-based model analyses team form, attack and defence strength, and live bookmaker odds to surface value bets — updated every day, graded every night.

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