Today / Al Jazeera vs Shabab Al Ordon

Al Jazeera vs Shabab Al Ordon Prediction

Friday, May 1, 2026

Al Jazeera
PPG 1.00 · HOME
3 – 0
FULL TIME
Shabab Al Ordon
PPG 0.83 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-09.6%0-110.1%0-25.3%0-31.9%0-4+0.6%1 1-012.4%1-113.0%1-26.9%1-32.4%1-4+0.8%2 2-08.0%2-18.4%2-24.4%2-31.6%2-4+0.5%3 3-03.4%3-13.6%3-21.9%3-30.7%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-01.5%4+-11.6%4+-20.8%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.1%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 40.0%
Draw 31.7%
Away win 28.3%
Over 2.5 41.6%
Over 3.5 21.0%
BTTS 49.2%
Home O1.5
Away O1.5

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 26%CONFIDENCE
✘ MISS — FT 3-0
xG (home)1.3 xG (away)1.1 BTTS prob49.2%

H 40% / xG 1.3-1.1 / U2.5 42% / NoBTTS 49%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 13.0%
#2 0–0 9.6%
#3 1–0 12.4%
#4 2–1 8.4%
#5 0–1 10.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Al Jazeera1.3
Shabab Al Ordon1.1

COMBINED 2.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 41.6% · O3.5 PROB 21.0%

Form & verdict PPG

AL JAZEERA · PPG 1.00

SHABAB AL ORDON · PPG 0.83

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value
42%
BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.00), Away POOR (0.83)

Win probability 1X2

Al Jazeera (H) 40.0%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 31.7%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Shabab Al Ordon (A) 28.3%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Al Jazeera face Shabab Al Ordon on Friday, May 1, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Al Jazeera a 40% chance, the draw 32% and Shabab Al Ordon 28%, so Al Jazeera are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Al Jazeera and 1.1 for Shabab Al Ordon (2.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 42% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Al Jazeera are averaging 1.00 points per game versus 0.83 for Shabab Al Ordon. This match finished 3-0.

PredictVantage

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