Al Ahli face Al Buqaa on Friday, May 1, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Al Ahli a 38% chance, the draw 27% and Al Buqaa 36%, so Al Ahli are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for Al Ahli and 1.6 for Al Buqaa (3.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 62% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 66% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Al Ahli are averaging 0.33 points per game versus 1.00 for Al Buqaa. This match finished 0-2.
Away momentum: AVERAGE form (1.00) vs Home POOR (0.33)