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TSV St. Johann vs Seekirchen Prediction— Austria - Regionalliga - West

West - 27 ·Thursday, April 30, 2026, 17:00

TSV St. Johann

PPG 1.33 · HOME

0 – 2

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · O2.5

Seekirchen

PPG 1.67 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.9 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.1%0-14.7%0-25.2%0-33.9%0-4+3.6%1 1-03.5%1-17.7%1-28.5%1-36.3%1-4+5.9%2 2-02.8%2-16.3%2-27.0%2-35.2%2-4+4.8%3 3-01.5%3-13.4%3-23.8%3-32.8%3-4+2.6%4+ 4+-00.9%4+-12.0%4+-22.2%4+-31.7%4+-4+1.5%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 27.3% — — —

Draw 22.6% — — —

Away win 50.1% — — —

Over 2.5 74.0% — — —

Over 3.5 53.8% — — —

BTTS 72.9% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 70 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 56%

O2.5 60%

BTTS 59%

Score Hit 37%

ROI -6.3%

Bet Hit 65%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 65%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-2

xG (home)1.6 xG (away)2.2 BTTS prob72.9%

A 50% / xG 1.6-2.2 / O2.5 74% / BTTS 73%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 7.7%

#2 1–2 8.5%

#3 2–2 7.0%

#4 1–3 6.3%

#5 2–1 6.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

TSV St. Johann1.6

Seekirchen2.2

COMBINED 3.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 74.0% · O3.5 PROB 53.8%

Form & verdict PPG

TSV ST. JOHANN · PPG 1.33

SEEKIRCHEN · PPG 1.67

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value

45%

DANGER

Home weakness: AVERAGE (1.33) vs Away GOOD (1.67)

Win probability 1X2

TSV St. Johann (H) 27.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 22.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Seekirchen (A) 50.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

TSV St. Johann face Seekirchen in Austria - Regionalliga - West on Thursday, April 30, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives TSV St. Johann a 27% chance, the draw 23% and Seekirchen 50%, so Seekirchen are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for TSV St. Johann and 2.2 for Seekirchen (3.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 74% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 73% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, TSV St. Johann are averaging 1.33 points per game versus 1.67 for Seekirchen. This match finished 0-2.

TSV St. Johann vs Seekirchen Prediction— Austria - Regionalliga - West

Match Preview & Prediction

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