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Lusail City vs Al Bidda Prediction— Qatar - Second Division

Qatar - Second Division logo Qatar flag Qatar - Second Division Regular Season - 14 Thursday, April 30, 2026 16:00
Lusail City logo Lusail City PPG 2.17
1-2 MISS
Al Bidda logo Al Bidda PPG 0.83
Over2.5· +3.1% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
66% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Lusail City face Al Bidda in Qatar - Second Division on Thursday, April 30, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Lusail City a 69% chance, the draw 20% and Al Bidda 11%, so Lusail City are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.3 for Lusail City and 0.8 for Al Bidda (3.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 60% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 51% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Lusail City are averaging 2.17 points per game versus 0.83 for Al Bidda. The best value bet our model finds is over 2.5 goals, with an expected value of +3.1%. This match finished 1-2.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 69.0%
Odds: 1.48 EV: +2.1%
Draw 20.4%
Odds: 3.90 EV: -20.4%
Away 10.7%
Odds: 5.50 EV: -41.1%
Model lean: Home
Result: Away ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 59.6% Odds: 1.73 +3.1%
Over 3.5 37.2% Odds: —
BTTS 51.3% Odds: —
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 2-0
2nd 1-1
3rd 2-1
4th 1-0
5th 3-0

Expected Goals (xG)

Lusail City
2.27
Al Bidda
0.82

Model Suggestion

Home +2.1% ROI TRACKS: Home
Tracked ROI market: Home.
Raw EV leader: Over2.5(+3.1%)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
66%
STRONG_HOME

Home team in EXCELLENT form (2.17), Away POOR (0.83) - Strong consensus

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