Lusail City PPG 2.17
Al Bidda PPG 0.83Lusail City face Al Bidda in Qatar - Second Division on Thursday, April 30, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Lusail City a 69% chance, the draw 20% and Al Bidda 11%, so Lusail City are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.3 for Lusail City and 0.8 for Al Bidda (3.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 60% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 51% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Lusail City are averaging 2.17 points per game versus 0.83 for Al Bidda. The best value bet our model finds is over 2.5 goals, with an expected value of +3.1%. This match finished 1-2.
Home team in EXCELLENT form (2.17), Away POOR (0.83) - Strong consensus