Al Markhiya vs Lusail City Prediction— Qatar - Second Division

Qatar - Second Division Regular Season - 13 Grand Hamad Stadium· Doha Saturday, April 25, 2026 16:00

Al Markhiya PPG 1.83

0-2 HIT CS3

Lusail City PPG 2.17

Away· +59.6% ⚠ CAUTION - Home form weak, consider away

65% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Al Markhiya face Lusail City in Qatar - Second Division on Saturday, April 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Al Markhiya a 23% chance, the draw 21% and Lusail City 55%, so Lusail City are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Al Markhiya and 2.0 for Lusail City (3.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-2. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 62% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Al Markhiya are averaging 1.83 points per game versus 2.17 for Lusail City. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +59.6%. This match finished 0-2.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 23.2%

Odds: 2.10 EV: -51.3%

Draw 21.4%

Odds: 3.40 EV: -27.2%

Away 55.4%

Odds: 2.88 EV: +59.6%

Model lean: Over 2.5

Result: Away ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 63.5% Odds: 1.85 +17.5%

Over 3.5 41.4% Odds: — —

BTTS 61.9% Odds: — —

O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-2 ✘

2nd 1-1 ✘

3rd 0-2 ✔

4th 0-1 ✘

5th 1-3 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Al Markhiya

1.25

Lusail City

2.03

Model SuggestionOver 2.5 +17.5% ROI TRACKS: Over 2.5
Tracked ROI market: Over 2.5. 
Raw EV leader: Away(+59.6%)

Verdict & Form

⚠ CAUTION - Home form weak, consider away

65%

DANGER

Home weakness: GOOD (1.83) vs Away EXCELLENT (2.17)