Al Mesaimeer vs Al Waab Prediction— Qatar - Second Division

Qatar - Second Division Regular Season - 13 Saturday, April 25, 2026 16:00

Al Mesaimeer PPG 1.60

3-0 MISS

Al Waab PPG 1.60

Home· -3.5% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Al Mesaimeer face Al Waab in Qatar - Second Division on Saturday, April 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Al Mesaimeer a 45% chance, the draw 26% and Al Waab 30%, so Al Mesaimeer are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.5 for Al Mesaimeer and 1.2 for Al Waab (2.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Al Mesaimeer are averaging 1.60 points per game versus 1.60 for Al Waab. This match finished 3-0.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 44.9%

Odds: 2.15 EV: -3.5%

Draw 25.6%

Odds: 3.50 EV: -10.4%

Away 29.5%

Odds: 2.75 EV: -18.9%

Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 49.5% Odds: 1.85 -8.4%

Over 3.5 27.6% Odds: — —

BTTS 53.3% Odds: — —

O2.5 UNDER → OVER ✘ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 1-0 ✘

3rd 2-1 ✘

4th 0-1 ✘

5th 2-0 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Al Mesaimeer

1.50

Al Waab

1.16

Model SuggestionBTTS  NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is — at these odds — not a recommended bet. 

League Track Record ↗

Based on 6 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 67%

O2.5/Under 50%

BTTS/No 33%

Score Hit 33%

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.60), Away GOOD (1.60)