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Al Mesaimeer vs Al Waab Prediction— Qatar - Second Division

Regular Season - 13 ·Saturday, April 25, 2026, 16:00

Al Mesaimeer

PPG 1.60 · HOME

3 – 0

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · BTTS

Al Waab

PPG 1.60 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.60), Away GOOD (1.60)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-07.0%0-18.2%0-24.7%0-31.8%0-4+0.7%1 1-010.5%1-112.2%1-27.1%1-32.7%1-4+1.0%2 2-07.9%2-19.1%2-25.3%2-32.0%2-4+0.8%3 3-03.9%3-14.5%3-22.6%3-31.0%3-4+0.4%4+ 4+-02.0%4+-12.4%4+-21.4%4+-30.5%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 44.9% 46.5% 2.15 -3.5%

Draw 25.6% 28.6% 3.50 -10.4%

Away win 29.5% 36.4% 2.75 -18.9%

Over 2.5 49.5% 54.1% 1.85 -8.4%

Over 3.5 27.6% — — —

BTTS 53.3% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 6 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 67%

O2.5 50%

BTTS 33%

Score Hit 33%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 26%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 3-0

xG (home)1.5 xG (away)1.2 BTTS prob53.3%

H 45% / xG 1.5-1.2 / O2.5 50% / BTTS 53%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.2%

#2 1–0 10.5%

#3 2–1 9.1%

#4 0–1 8.2%

#5 2–0 7.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Al Mesaimeer1.5

Al Waab1.2

COMBINED 2.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 49.5% · O3.5 PROB 27.6%

Form & verdict PPG

AL MESAIMEER · PPG 1.60

AL WAAB · PPG 1.60

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.60), Away GOOD (1.60)

Win probability 1X2

Al Mesaimeer (H) 44.9%

ODDS 2.15 · IMPLIED 46.5% EV -3.5%

Draw 25.6%

ODDS 3.50 · IMPLIED 28.6% EV -10.4%

Al Waab (A) 29.5%

ODDS 2.75 · IMPLIED 36.4% EV -18.9%

Match Preview & Prediction

Al Mesaimeer face Al Waab in Qatar - Second Division on Saturday, April 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Al Mesaimeer a 45% chance, the draw 26% and Al Waab 30%, so Al Mesaimeer are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.5 for Al Mesaimeer and 1.2 for Al Waab (2.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Al Mesaimeer are averaging 1.60 points per game versus 1.60 for Al Waab. This match finished 3-0.

Al Mesaimeer vs Al Waab Prediction— Qatar - Second Division

Match Preview & Prediction

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