Al Khor vs Al Markhiya Prediction— Qatar - Second Division

Qatar - Second Division Regular Season - 14 Al Khor Stadium· Al Khor Thursday, April 30, 2026 16:00

Al Khor PPG 1.33

0-3 MISS

Al Markhiya PPG 1.50

Over2.5· +2.5% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Al Khor face Al Markhiya in Qatar - Second Division on Thursday, April 30, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Al Khor a 35% chance, the draw 27% and Al Markhiya 38%, so Al Markhiya are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.5 for Al Khor and 1.6 for Al Markhiya (3.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 59% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Al Khor are averaging 1.33 points per game versus 1.50 for Al Markhiya. The best value bet our model finds is over 2.5 goals, with an expected value of +2.5%. This match finished 0-3.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 34.9%

Odds: 2.60 EV: -9.3%

Draw 27.4%

Odds: 3.25 EV: -10.9%

Away 37.7%

Odds: 2.38 EV: -10.3%

Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Away ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 58.6% Odds: 1.75 +2.5%

Over 3.5 36.2% Odds: — —

BTTS 62.7% Odds: — —

O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 1-2 ✘

3rd 2-1 ✘

4th 0-0 ✘

5th 2-2 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Al Khor

1.49

Al Markhiya

1.55

Model SuggestionBTTS  EXCLUDED FROM ROI
ROI tracking: excluded — EV is negative (—), so the model expects this bet to lose money at the offered odds.

League Track Record ↗

Based on 6 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 67%

O2.5/Under 50%

BTTS/No 33%

Score Hit 33%

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.33), Away GOOD (1.50)