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Bersenbruck vs Wilhelmshaven Prediction— Germany - Oberliga - Niedersachsen

Niedersachsen - 16 ·Wednesday, April 29, 2026, 17:00

Bersenbruck

PPG 1.69 · HOME

1 – 3

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Wilhelmshaven

PPG 1.82 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.69), Away GOOD (1.82)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.0%0-14.8%0-23.9%0-32.1%0-4+1.2%1 1-05.6%1-19.1%1-27.4%1-34.0%1-4+2.3%2 2-05.3%2-18.6%2-27.0%2-33.8%2-4+2.2%3 3-03.4%3-15.5%3-24.4%3-32.4%3-4+1.4%4+ 4+-02.5%4+-14.0%4+-23.3%4+-31.8%4+-4+1.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 43.3% — — —

Draw 24.7% — — —

Away win 32.0% — — —

Over 2.5 68.3% — — —

Over 3.5 46.8% — — —

BTTS 69.6% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 25 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 48%

O2.5 72%

BTTS 64%

Score Hit 36%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 54%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-3

xG (home)1.9 xG (away)1.6 BTTS prob69.6%

H 43% / xG 1.9-1.6 / O2.5 68% / BTTS 70%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 9.1%

#2 2–1 8.6%

#3 1–2 7.4%

#4 2–2 7.0%

#5 3–1 5.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Bersenbruck1.9

Wilhelmshaven1.6

COMBINED 3.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 68.3% · O3.5 PROB 46.8%

Form & verdict PPG

BERSENBRUCK · PPG 1.69

WILHELMSHAVEN · PPG 1.82

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.69), Away GOOD (1.82)

Win probability 1X2

Bersenbruck (H) 43.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 24.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Wilhelmshaven (A) 32.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Bersenbruck face Wilhelmshaven in Germany - Oberliga - Niedersachsen on Wednesday, April 29, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Bersenbruck a 43% chance, the draw 25% and Wilhelmshaven 32%, so Bersenbruck are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.9 for Bersenbruck and 1.6 for Wilhelmshaven (3.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 68% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 70% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Bersenbruck are averaging 1.69 points per game versus 1.82 for Wilhelmshaven. This match finished 1-3.

Bersenbruck vs Wilhelmshaven Prediction— Germany - Oberliga - Niedersachsen

Match Preview & Prediction

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