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Bersenbruck vs Egestorf L. Prediction— Germany - Oberliga - Niedersachsen

Niedersachsen - 29 ·Sunday, May 10, 2026, 13:00

Bersenbruck

PPG 1.57 · HOME

2 – 3

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Egestorf L.

PPG 1.62 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 4.5 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.1%0-12.8%0-23.6%0-33.0%0-4+3.4%1 1-02.2%1-15.6%1-27.0%1-35.9%1-4+6.8%2 2-02.2%2-15.5%2-26.9%2-35.8%2-4+6.7%3 3-01.4%3-13.6%3-24.5%3-33.8%3-4+4.4%4+ 4+-01.1%4+-12.8%4+-23.5%4+-33.0%4+-4+3.4%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 34.2% — — —

Draw 23.5% — — —

Away win 42.3% — — —

Over 2.5 69.8% — — —

Over 3.5 65.7% — — —

BTTS 66.7% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 25 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 48%

O2.5 72%

BTTS 64%

Score Hit 36%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 3 55%CONFIDENCE

✓ HIT — EXACT SCORE

xG (home)2.0 xG (away)2.5 BTTS prob66.7%

A 42% / xG 2.0-2.5 / O2.5 70% / BTTS 67%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–2 7.0%

#2 2–2 6.9%

#3 1–1 5.6%

#4 1–3 5.9%

#5 2–3✓ 5.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Bersenbruck2.0

Egestorf L.2.5

COMBINED 4.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 69.8% · O3.5 PROB 65.7%

Form & verdict PPG

BERSENBRUCK · PPG 1.57

EGESTORF L. · PPG 1.62

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.57), Away GOOD (1.62)

Win probability 1X2

Bersenbruck (H) 34.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 23.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Egestorf L. (A) 42.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Bersenbruck face Egestorf L. in Germany - Oberliga - Niedersachsen on Sunday, May 10, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Bersenbruck a 34% chance, the draw 24% and Egestorf L. 42%, so Egestorf L. are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.0 for Bersenbruck and 2.5 for Egestorf L. (4.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-2. There is a 70% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 67% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Bersenbruck are averaging 1.57 points per game versus 1.62 for Egestorf L.. This match finished 2-3.

Bersenbruck vs Egestorf L. Prediction— Germany - Oberliga - Niedersachsen

Match Preview & Prediction

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