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Spelle-Venhaus vs Hildesheim Prediction— Germany - Oberliga - Niedersachsen

Niedersachsen - 29 ·Saturday, May 9, 2026, 14:00

Spelle-Venhaus

PPG 1.64 · HOME

3 – 0

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · BTTS

Hildesheim

PPG 1.38 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.64), Away AVERAGE (1.38)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.5%0-12.6%0-22.2%0-31.2%0-4+0.8%1 1-03.7%1-16.4%1-25.4%1-33.1%1-4+1.9%2 2-04.7%2-18.0%2-26.8%2-33.8%2-4+2.4%3 3-03.9%3-16.6%3-25.6%3-33.2%3-4+2.0%4+ 4+-04.4%4+-17.5%4+-26.4%4+-33.6%4+-4+2.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 50.2% — — —

Draw 24.3% — — —

Away win 25.5% — — —

Over 2.5 61.7% — — —

Over 3.5 60.4% — — —

BTTS 63.0% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 25 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 48%

O2.5 72%

BTTS 64%

Score Hit 36%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 2 52%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 3-0

xG (home)2.5 xG (away)1.7 BTTS prob63.0%

H 50% / xG 2.5-1.7 / O2.5 62% / BTTS 63%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–1 8.0%

#2 1–1 6.4%

#3 2–2 6.8%

#4 3–1 6.6%

#5 3–2 5.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Spelle-Venhaus2.5

Hildesheim1.7

COMBINED 4.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 61.7% · O3.5 PROB 60.4%

Form & verdict PPG

SPELLE-VENHAUS · PPG 1.64

HILDESHEIM · PPG 1.38

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.64), Away AVERAGE (1.38)

Win probability 1X2

Spelle-Venhaus (H) 50.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 24.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Hildesheim (A) 25.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Spelle-Venhaus face Hildesheim in Germany - Oberliga - Niedersachsen on Saturday, May 9, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Spelle-Venhaus a 50% chance, the draw 24% and Hildesheim 26%, so Spelle-Venhaus are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.5 for Spelle-Venhaus and 1.7 for Hildesheim (4.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-1. There is a 62% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Spelle-Venhaus are averaging 1.64 points per game versus 1.38 for Hildesheim. This match finished 3-0.

Spelle-Venhaus vs Hildesheim Prediction— Germany - Oberliga - Niedersachsen

Match Preview & Prediction

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