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Verden 04 vs Meppen B Prediction— Germany - Oberliga - Niedersachsen

Niedersachsen - 29 ·Sunday, May 10, 2026, 13:00

Verden 04

PPG 1.57 · HOME

3 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Meppen B

PPG 1.36 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.2 puts the goal expectation above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.2%0-16.2%0-24.6%0-32.2%0-4+1.1%1 1-07.1%1-110.5%1-27.7%1-33.8%1-4+1.9%2 2-06.1%2-18.9%2-26.6%2-33.2%2-4+1.6%3 3-03.4%3-15.0%3-23.7%3-31.8%3-4+0.9%4+ 4+-02.1%4+-13.1%4+-22.3%4+-31.1%4+-4+0.6%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 41.2% — — —

Draw 24.9% — — —

Away win 33.9% — — —

Over 2.5 60.2% — — —

Over 3.5 39.0% — — —

BTTS 58.8% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 25 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 48%

O2.5 72%

BTTS 64%

Score Hit 36%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 35%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 3-2

xG (home)1.7 xG (away)1.5 BTTS prob58.8%

H 41% / xG 1.7-1.5 / O2.5 60% / BTTS 59%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.5%

#2 2–1 8.9%

#3 1–2 7.7%

#4 2–2 6.6%

#5 2–0 6.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Verden 041.7

Meppen B1.5

COMBINED 3.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 60.2% · O3.5 PROB 39.0%

Form & verdict PPG

VERDEN 04 · PPG 1.57

MEPPEN B · PPG 1.36

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.57), Away AVERAGE (1.36)

Win probability 1X2

Verden 04 (H) 41.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 24.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Meppen B (A) 33.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Verden 04 face Meppen B in Germany - Oberliga - Niedersachsen on Sunday, May 10, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Verden 04 a 41% chance, the draw 25% and Meppen B 34%, so Verden 04 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.7 for Verden 04 and 1.5 for Meppen B (3.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 60% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 59% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Verden 04 are averaging 1.57 points per game versus 1.36 for Meppen B. This match finished 3-2.

Verden 04 vs Meppen B Prediction— Germany - Oberliga - Niedersachsen

Match Preview & Prediction

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