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Heeslinger SC vs Spelle-Venhaus Prediction— Germany - Oberliga - Niedersachsen

Niedersachsen - 30 ·Sunday, May 17, 2026, 13:00

Heeslinger SC

PPG 1.92 · HOME

4 – 4

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Spelle-Venhaus

PPG 1.36 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 4.2 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.6%0-12.6%0-22.2%0-31.2%0-4+0.7%1 1-03.9%1-16.5%1-25.4%1-33.0%1-4+1.8%2 2-04.9%2-18.1%2-26.7%2-33.7%2-4+2.3%3 3-04.0%3-16.7%3-25.6%3-33.1%3-4+1.9%4+ 4+-04.5%4+-17.5%4+-26.3%4+-33.5%4+-4+2.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 52.4% — — —

Draw 22.9% — — —

Away win 24.7% — — —

Over 2.5 63.9% — — —

Over 3.5 59.5% — — —

BTTS 63.0% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 25 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 48%

O2.5 72%

BTTS 64%

Score Hit 36%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 2 55%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 4-4

xG (home)2.5 xG (away)1.7 BTTS prob63.0%

H 52% / xG 2.5-1.7 / O2.5 64% / BTTS 63%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–1 8.1%

#2 1–1 6.5%

#3 2–2 6.7%

#4 3–1 6.7%

#5 3–2 5.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Heeslinger SC2.5

Spelle-Venhaus1.7

COMBINED 4.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 63.9% · O3.5 PROB 59.5%

Form & verdict PPG

HEESLINGER SC · PPG 1.92

SPELLE-VENHAUS · PPG 1.36

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.92) > Away AVERAGE (1.36)

Win probability 1X2

Heeslinger SC (H) 52.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 22.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Spelle-Venhaus (A) 24.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Heeslinger SC face Spelle-Venhaus in Germany - Oberliga - Niedersachsen on Sunday, May 17, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Heeslinger SC a 52% chance, the draw 23% and Spelle-Venhaus 25%, so Heeslinger SC are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.5 for Heeslinger SC and 1.7 for Spelle-Venhaus (4.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-1. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Heeslinger SC are averaging 1.92 points per game versus 1.36 for Spelle-Venhaus. This match finished 4-4.

Heeslinger SC vs Spelle-Venhaus Prediction— Germany - Oberliga - Niedersachsen

Match Preview & Prediction

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