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Lupo-Martini vs Heeslinger SC Prediction— Germany - Oberliga - Niedersachsen

Niedersachsen - 29 ·Sunday, May 10, 2026, 13:00

Lupo-Martini

PPG 0.31 · HOME

2 – 1

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · AWAY

Heeslinger SC

PPG 1.92 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Away

Away momentum: GOOD form (1.92) vs Home POOR (0.31)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.6%0-15.0%0-27.8%0-38.0%0-4+13.4%1 1-01.7%1-15.2%1-28.0%1-38.2%1-4+13.7%2 2-00.9%2-12.7%2-24.1%2-34.2%2-4+7.0%3 3-00.3%3-10.9%3-21.4%3-31.4%3-4+2.4%4+ 4+-00.1%4+-10.3%4+-20.4%4+-30.5%4+-4+0.8%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 12.8% — — —

Draw 21.6% — — —

Away win 65.6% — — —

Over 2.5 61.7% — — —

Over 3.5 58.9% — — —

BTTS 58.8% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 25 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 48%

O2.5 72%

BTTS 64%

Score Hit 36%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 68%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-1

xG (home)1.0 xG (away)3.1 BTTS prob58.8%

A 66% / xG 1.0-3.1 / O2.5 62% / BTTS 59%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–3 8.2%

#2 0–3 8.0%

#3 1–2 8.0%

#4 0–2 7.8%

#5 1–4 6.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Lupo-Martini1.0

Heeslinger SC3.1

COMBINED 4.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 61.7% · O3.5 PROB 58.9%

Form & verdict PPG

LUPO-MARTINI · PPG 0.31

HEESLINGER SC · PPG 1.92

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value

63%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: GOOD form (1.92) vs Home POOR (0.31)

Win probability 1X2

Lupo-Martini (H) 12.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 21.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Heeslinger SC (A) 65.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Lupo-Martini face Heeslinger SC in Germany - Oberliga - Niedersachsen on Sunday, May 10, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Lupo-Martini a 13% chance, the draw 22% and Heeslinger SC 66%, so Heeslinger SC are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.0 for Lupo-Martini and 3.1 for Heeslinger SC (4.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-3. There is a 62% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 59% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Lupo-Martini are averaging 0.31 points per game versus 1.92 for Heeslinger SC. This match finished 2-1.

Lupo-Martini vs Heeslinger SC Prediction— Germany - Oberliga - Niedersachsen

Match Preview & Prediction

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