Al Ahli M. vs Al Riffa Prediction— Bahrain - Premier League

Match Preview & Prediction

Al Ahli M. face Al Riffa in Bahrain - Premier League on Wednesday, April 29, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Al Ahli M. a 28% chance, the draw 32% and Al Riffa 40%, so Al Riffa are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.0 for Al Ahli M. and 1.3 for Al Riffa (2.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 40% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Al Ahli M. are averaging 1.11 points per game versus 2.22 for Al Riffa. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +34.9%. This match finished 2-3.