Espanyol vs Levante Prediction— Spain - La Liga

Spain - La Liga Regular Season - 32 RCDE Stadium· Cornella de Llobregat Monday, April 27, 2026 19:00

Espanyol PPG 1.40

0-0 HIT CS5

Levante PPG 0.80

Over3.5· +25.7% ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

75% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Espanyol face Levante in Spain - La Liga on Monday, April 27, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Espanyol a 46% chance, the draw 28% and Levante 25%, so Espanyol are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.8 for Espanyol and 1.2 for Levante (3.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 59% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 59% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Espanyol are averaging 1.40 points per game versus 0.80 for Levante. The best value bet our model finds is over 3.5 goals, with an expected value of +25.7%. This match finished 0-0.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 46.3%

Odds: 2.10 EV: -2.8%

Draw 28.3%

Odds: 3.25 EV: -8.0%

Away 25.4%

Odds: 3.55 EV: -9.8%

Model lean: Over 2.5

Result: Draw ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 59.0% Odds: 2.00 +18.0%

Over 3.5 35.4% Odds: 3.55 +25.7%

BTTS 58.5% Odds: 1.80 +5.3%

O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 2-1 ✘

3rd 2-0 ✘

4th 1-0 ✘

5th 0-0 ✔

Expected Goals (xG)

Espanyol

1.81

Levante

1.19

Model SuggestionOver 2.5 +18.0% ROI TRACKS: Over 2.5
Tracked ROI market: Over 2.5. 
Raw EV leader: Over3.5(+25.7%)

League Track Record ↗

Based on 70 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 51%

O2.5/Under 60%

BTTS/No 64%

Score Hit 56%

ROI -19.9%

Bet Hit 42% (26 bets)

Verdict & Form

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

75%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.40) > Away POOR (0.80)