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Mixto W vs Fluminense W Prediction— Brazil - Brasileiro Women

Regular Season - 8 ·Sunday, April 26, 2026, 19:00

Mixto W

PPG 1.33 · HOME

0 – 2

FULL TIME

Fluminense W

PPG 1.33 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-012.2%0-114.6%0-28.7%0-33.5%0-4+1.3%1 1-011.1%1-113.2%1-27.9%1-33.1%1-4+1.2%2 2-05.0%2-16.0%2-23.6%2-31.4%2-4+0.6%3 3-01.5%3-11.8%3-21.1%3-30.4%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-00.4%4+-10.5%4+-20.3%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 29.2% — — —

Draw 33.2% — — —

Away win 37.6% — — —

Over 2.5 44.4% — — —

Over 3.5 16.1% — — —

BTTS 49.5% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 36 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 44%

O2.5 50%

BTTS 58%

Score Hit 44%

ROI -30.5%

Bet Hit 42%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 42%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-2

xG (home)0.9 xG (away)1.2 BTTS prob49.5%

D 33% / xG 0.9-1.2 / U2.5 44% / NoBTTS 50%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 13.2%

#2 0–0 12.2%

#3 0–1 14.6%

#4 1–0 11.1%

#5 0–2✓ 8.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Mixto W0.9

Fluminense W1.2

COMBINED 2.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 44.4% · O3.5 PROB 16.1%

Form & verdict PPG

MIXTO W · PPG 1.33

FLUMINENSE W · PPG 1.33

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.33), Away AVERAGE (1.33)

Win probability 1X2

Mixto W (H) 29.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 33.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Fluminense W (A) 37.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Mixto W face Fluminense W in Brazil - Brasileiro Women on Sunday, April 26, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Mixto W a 29% chance, the draw 33% and Fluminense W 38%, so Fluminense W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.9 for Mixto W and 1.2 for Fluminense W (2.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 44% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 50% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Mixto W are averaging 1.33 points per game versus 1.33 for Fluminense W. This match finished 0-2.

Mixto W vs Fluminense W Prediction— Brazil - Brasileiro Women

Match Preview & Prediction

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