Villarreal vs Celta Vigo Prediction & Tips

Spain - La Liga Regular Season - 32 Estadio de la Ceramica· Villarreal Sunday, April 26, 2026 19:00

Villarreal PPG 2.47

2-1 HIT MostLikelyScore

Celta Vigo PPG 1.69

Over3.5· +28.4% ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

75% confidence

Home 56.0%

Odds: 1.96 EV: +9.8%

Draw 23.1%

Odds: 3.40 EV: -21.5%

Away 20.9%

Odds: 3.75 EV: -21.6%

Model lean: Over 2.5

Result: Home ✔

Over 2.5 59.0% Odds: 1.83 +8.0%

Over 3.5 42.8% Odds: 3.00 +28.4%

BTTS 58.5% Odds: 1.67 -2.3%

O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

1st 2-1 ✔

2nd 1-1 ✘

3rd 2-0 ✘

4th 3-1 ✘

5th 3-0 ✘

Villarreal

2.31

Celta Vigo

1.03

Model SuggestionOver 2.5 +8.0% ROI TRACKS: Over 2.5
Tracked ROI market: Over 2.5. 
Raw EV leader: Over3.5(+28.4%)

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

75%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: EXCELLENT (2.47) > Away GOOD (1.69)