O. Grudziadz vs Warta Poznan Prediction— Poland - II Liga - East

Poland - II Liga - East Regular Season - 29 Stadion Miejski im. Bronisława Malinowskiego· Grudziądz Sunday, April 26, 2026 17:30

O. Grudziadz PPG 2.29

2-4 MISS

Warta Poznan PPG 1.62

BTTS· -0.5% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

O. Grudziadz face Warta Poznan in Poland - II Liga - East on Sunday, April 26, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives O. Grudziadz a 45% chance, the draw 28% and Warta Poznan 28%, so O. Grudziadz are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.7 for O. Grudziadz and 1.3 for Warta Poznan (3.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 59% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 59% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, O. Grudziadz are averaging 2.29 points per game versus 1.62 for Warta Poznan. This match finished 2-4.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 44.6%

Odds: 2.00 EV: -10.8%

Draw 27.8%

Odds: 3.30 EV: -8.3%

Away 27.6%

Odds: 3.10 EV: -14.4%

Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Away ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 59.0% Odds: — —

Over 3.5 35.2% Odds: — —

BTTS 58.5% Odds: 1.70 -0.5%

O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 2-1 ✘

3rd 1-2 ✘

4th 2-0 ✘

5th 1-0 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

O. Grudziadz

1.69

Warta Poznan

1.31

Model SuggestionOver 2.5  NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Over 2.5, but EV is — at these odds — not a recommended bet. 

League Track Record ↗

Based on 58 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 47%

O2.5/Under 50%

BTTS/No 53%

Score Hit 50%

ROI 23.1%

Bet Hit 71% (14 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

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Home slight advantage: EXCELLENT (2.29) > Away GOOD (1.62)