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Karlsruher B vs Hollenbach Prediction— Germany - Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg

Baden-Württemberg - 29 ·Sunday, April 26, 2026, 14:00

Karlsruher B

PPG 1.00 · HOME

2 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Hollenbach

PPG 0.93 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 4.0 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.8%0-14.1%0-24.8%0-33.7%0-4+3.7%1 1-03.0%1-17.0%1-28.2%1-36.3%1-4+6.4%2 2-02.6%2-16.0%2-27.0%2-35.4%2-4+5.5%3 3-01.5%3-13.4%3-24.0%3-33.1%3-4+3.1%4+ 4+-00.9%4+-12.1%4+-22.5%4+-31.9%4+-4+2.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 31.0% — — —

Draw 24.3% — — —

Away win 44.7% — — —

Over 2.5 61.2% — — —

Over 3.5 57.4% — — —

BTTS 58.5% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 53 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 43%

O2.5 79%

BTTS 76%

Score Hit 32%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 53%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-1

xG (home)1.7 xG (away)2.3 BTTS prob58.5%

A 45% / xG 1.7-2.3 / O2.5 61% / BTTS 58%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–2 8.2%

#2 1–1 7.0%

#3 2–2 7.0%

#4 1–3 6.3%

#5 2–1✓ 6.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Karlsruher B1.7

Hollenbach2.3

COMBINED 4.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 61.2% · O3.5 PROB 57.4%

Form & verdict PPG

KARLSRUHER B · PPG 1.00

HOLLENBACH · PPG 0.93

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.00), Away POOR (0.93)

Win probability 1X2

Karlsruher B (H) 31.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 24.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Hollenbach (A) 44.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Karlsruher B face Hollenbach in Germany - Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg on Sunday, April 26, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Karlsruher B a 31% chance, the draw 24% and Hollenbach 45%, so Hollenbach are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.7 for Karlsruher B and 2.3 for Hollenbach (4.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-2. There is a 61% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 59% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Karlsruher B are averaging 1.00 points per game versus 0.93 for Hollenbach. This match finished 2-1.

Karlsruher B vs Hollenbach Prediction— Germany - Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg

Match Preview & Prediction

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