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Reutlingen vs Aalen Prediction— Germany - Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg

Baden-Württemberg - 29 ·Sunday, April 26, 2026, 13:30

Reutlingen

PPG 1.64 · HOME

0 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · AWAY

Aalen

PPG 2.54 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Away

Away momentum: EXCELLENT form (2.54) vs Home GOOD (1.64)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.8%0-110.2%0-213.7%0-312.3%0-4+15.9%1 1-02.2%1-15.9%1-28.0%1-37.2%1-4+9.3%2 2-00.6%2-11.7%2-22.3%2-32.1%2-4+2.7%3 3-00.1%3-10.3%3-20.5%3-30.4%3-4+0.5%4+ 4+-00.0%4+-10.1%4+-20.1%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 7.7% — — —

Draw 24.2% — — —

Away win 68.1% — — —

Over 2.5 59.0% — — —

Over 3.5 41.5% — — —

BTTS 49.5% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 53 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 43%

O2.5 79%

BTTS 76%

Score Hit 32%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

0 – 4 47%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-1

xG (home)0.6 xG (away)2.7 BTTS prob49.5%

A 68% / xG 0.6-2.7 / O2.5 59% / NoBTTS 50%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–2 13.7%

#2 0–3 12.3%

#3 0–1✓ 10.2%

#4 0–4 8.3%

#5 1–2 8.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Reutlingen0.6

Aalen2.7

COMBINED 3.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 59.0% · O3.5 PROB 41.5%

Form & verdict PPG

REUTLINGEN · PPG 1.64

AALEN · PPG 2.54

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value

63%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: EXCELLENT form (2.54) vs Home GOOD (1.64)

Win probability 1X2

Reutlingen (H) 7.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 24.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Aalen (A) 68.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Reutlingen face Aalen in Germany - Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg on Sunday, April 26, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Reutlingen a 8% chance, the draw 24% and Aalen 68%, so Aalen are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.6 for Reutlingen and 2.7 for Aalen (3.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-2. There is a 59% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 50% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Reutlingen are averaging 1.64 points per game versus 2.54 for Aalen. This match finished 0-1.

Reutlingen vs Aalen Prediction— Germany - Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg

Match Preview & Prediction

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