Sandecja Nowy vs Kalisz Prediction— Poland - II Liga - East

Poland - II Liga - East Regular Season - 28 Stadion im. Ojca Władysława Augustynka· Nowy Sącz Friday, April 17, 2026 16:00

Sandecja Nowy PPG 1.54

1-1 HIT CS4

Kalisz PPG 1.00

Away· +33.7% ✓ SOLID - Moderate edge + strong value

75% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Sandecja Nowy face Kalisz in Poland - II Liga - East on Friday, April 17, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Sandecja Nowy a 58% chance, the draw 23% and Kalisz 19%, so Sandecja Nowy are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.8 for Sandecja Nowy and 0.9 for Kalisz (2.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 50% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Sandecja Nowy are averaging 1.54 points per game versus 1.00 for Kalisz. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +33.7%. This match finished 1-1.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 57.8%

Odds: 1.36 EV: -21.4%

Draw 23.1%

Odds: 4.00 EV: -7.6%

Away 19.1%

Odds: 7.00 EV: +33.7%

Model lean: Home Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Draw ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 50.5% Odds: — —

Over 3.5 28.5% Odds: — —

BTTS 49.8% Odds: 1.85 -7.9%

O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS NO → YES ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-0 ✘

2nd 1-1 ✔

3rd 2-0 ✘

4th 2-1 ✘

5th 0-0 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Sandecja Nowy

1.78

Kalisz

0.92

Model SuggestionHome -21.4% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Home, but EV is -21.4% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 
Highest raw EV: Away (+33.7%) — probability too low to qualify.

League Track Record ↗

Based on 58 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 47%

O2.5/Under 50%

BTTS/No 53%

Score Hit 50%

ROI 23.1%

Bet Hit 71% (14 bets)

Verdict & Form

✓ SOLID - Moderate edge + strong value

75%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.54) > Away AVERAGE (1.00)