Coventry City vs Wrexham Prediction— England - Championship

England - Championship Regular Season - 45 Coventry Building Society Arena· Coventry Sunday, April 26, 2026 11:00

Coventry City PPG 2.36

3-1 HIT CS5

Wrexham PPG 1.55

Over3.5· +28.2% 🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned

95% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Coventry City face Wrexham in England - Championship on Sunday, April 26, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Coventry City a 58% chance, the draw 24% and Wrexham 18%, so Coventry City are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.5 for Coventry City and 1.0 for Wrexham (3.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 61% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 59% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Coventry City are averaging 2.36 points per game versus 1.55 for Wrexham. The best value bet our model finds is over 3.5 goals, with an expected value of +28.2%. This match finished 3-1.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 58.4%

Odds: 2.12 EV: +23.8%

Draw 23.8%

Odds: 3.60 EV: -14.3%

Away 17.8%

Odds: 3.15 EV: -43.9%

Model lean: Over 2.5

Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 60.5% Odds: 1.70 +2.9%

Over 3.5 45.8% Odds: 2.80 +28.2%

BTTS 58.5% Odds: 1.60 -6.4%

O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 2-0 ✘

2nd 2-1 ✘

3rd 1-1 ✘

4th 3-0 ✘

5th 3-1 ✔

Expected Goals (xG)

Coventry City

2.51

Wrexham

0.97

Model SuggestionOver 2.5 +2.9% ROI TRACKS: Over 2.5
Tracked ROI market: Over 2.5. 
Raw EV leader: Over3.5(+28.2%)

Verdict & Form

🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned

95%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.36) vs P(Home)=58.4%