NKP Podhale vs Swit Skolwin Prediction— Poland - II Liga - East

Poland - II Liga - East Regular Season - 29 Stadion Mijeski im. Jozefa Pilsudskiego· Nowy Targ Sunday, April 26, 2026 10:00

NKP Podhale PPG 2.00

3-1 MISS

Swit Skolwin PPG 1.14

Away· +32.3% ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value

80% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

NKP Podhale face Swit Skolwin in Poland - II Liga - East on Sunday, April 26, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives NKP Podhale a 46% chance, the draw 28% and Swit Skolwin 25%, so NKP Podhale are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.8 for NKP Podhale and 1.0 for Swit Skolwin (2.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 58% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, NKP Podhale are averaging 2.00 points per game versus 1.14 for Swit Skolwin. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +32.3%. This match finished 3-1.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 46.4%

Odds: 1.48 EV: -31.3%

Draw 28.4%

Odds: 3.95 EV: +12.2%

Away 25.2%

Odds: 5.25 EV: +32.3%

Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 53.7% Odds: 1.60 -14.1%

Over 3.5 31.0% Odds: — —

BTTS 58.0% Odds: — —

O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 2-1 ✘

3rd 2-0 ✘

4th 1-0 ✘

5th 0-0 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

NKP Podhale

1.77

Swit Skolwin

1.04

Model SuggestionBTTS  EXCLUDED FROM ROI
ROI tracking: excluded — EV is negative (—), so the model expects this bet to lose money at the offered odds.

League Track Record ↗

Based on 58 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 47%

O2.5/Under 50%

BTTS/No 53%

Score Hit 50%

ROI 23.1%

Bet Hit 71% (14 bets)

Verdict & Form

✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value

80%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.00) vs P(Home)=46.4%