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Epitsentr U19 vs Oleksandria U19 Prediction— Ukraine - U19 League

Regular Season - 25 ·Sunday, April 26, 2026, 09:00

Epitsentr U19

PPG 0.42 · HOME

1 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Oleksandria U19

PPG 0.75 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.2 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.1%0-17.8%0-27.6%0-34.9%0-4+3.7%1 1-05.2%1-110.0%1-29.6%1-36.2%1-4+4.7%2 2-03.3%2-16.4%2-26.1%2-33.9%2-4+3.0%3 3-01.4%3-12.7%3-22.6%3-31.7%3-4+1.3%4+ 4+-00.6%4+-11.1%4+-21.1%4+-30.7%4+-4+0.5%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 27.3% — — —

Draw 28.2% — — —

Away win 44.5% — — —

Over 2.5 59.0% — — —

Over 3.5 39.8% — — —

BTTS 58.5% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 39 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 67%

O2.5 69%

BTTS 64%

Score Hit 41%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 36%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-2

xG (home)1.3 xG (away)1.9 BTTS prob58.5%

A 44% / xG 1.3-1.9 / O2.5 59% / BTTS 58%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.0%

#2 1–2✓ 9.6%

#3 0–2 7.6%

#4 2–1 6.4%

#5 0–1 7.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Epitsentr U191.3

Oleksandria U191.9

COMBINED 3.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 59.0% · O3.5 PROB 39.8%

Form & verdict PPG

EPITSENTR U19 · PPG 0.42

OLEKSANDRIA U19 · PPG 0.75

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value

45%

DANGER

Home weakness: POOR (0.42) vs Away POOR (0.75)

Win probability 1X2

Epitsentr U19 (H) 27.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 28.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Oleksandria U19 (A) 44.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Epitsentr U19 face Oleksandria U19 in Ukraine - U19 League on Sunday, April 26, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Epitsentr U19 a 27% chance, the draw 28% and Oleksandria U19 45%, so Oleksandria U19 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Epitsentr U19 and 1.9 for Oleksandria U19 (3.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 59% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 59% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Epitsentr U19 are averaging 0.42 points per game versus 0.75 for Oleksandria U19. This match finished 1-2.

Epitsentr U19 vs Oleksandria U19 Prediction— Ukraine - U19 League

Match Preview & Prediction

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