Today / Austria - Frauenliga / SCR Altach W vs Sudburgenland W

SCR Altach W vs Sudburgenland W Prediction— Austria - Frauenliga

Relegation Group - 19 ·Sunday, April 26, 2026, 08:30

SCR Altach W logo
SCR Altach W
PPG 1.22 · HOME
3 – 3
FULL TIME
✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O3.5
Sudburgenland W logo
Sudburgenland W
PPG 0.44 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 3.5

Combined xG of 5.5 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-00.4%0-10.8%0-20.8%0-30.5%0-4+0.4%1 1-01.4%1-12.8%1-22.7%1-31.8%1-4+1.4%2 2-02.5%2-15.0%2-24.9%2-33.2%2-4+2.5%3 3-03.0%3-15.9%3-25.8%3-33.8%3-4+2.9%4+ 4+-06.7%4+-113.1%4+-212.9%4+-38.4%4+-4+6.5%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 55.5%
Draw 20.6%
Away win 23.9%
Over 2.5 79.5%
Over 3.5 80.1%
BTTS 65.5%
Home O1.5
Away O1.5

League track record

Based on 21 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 62%
O2.5 67%
BTTS 48%
Score Hit 48%
ROI 3.3%
Bet Hit 71%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

4 – 1 65%CONFIDENCE
✘ MISS — FT 3-3
xG (home)3.6 xG (away)2.0 BTTS prob65.5%

H 56% / xG 3.6-2.0 / O2.5 80% / BTTS 66%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 3–1 5.9%
#2 3–2 5.8%
#3 4–1 5.2%
#4 4–2 5.2%
#5 2–1 5.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

SCR Altach W3.6
Sudburgenland W2.0

COMBINED 5.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 79.5% · O3.5 PROB 80.1%

Form & verdict PPG

SCR ALTACH W · PPG 1.22

SUDBURGENLAND W · PPG 0.44

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value
52%
MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.22) > Away POOR (0.44)

Win probability 1X2

SCR Altach W (H) 55.5%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 20.6%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Sudburgenland W (A) 23.9%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

SCR Altach W face Sudburgenland W in Austria - Frauenliga on Sunday, April 26, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives SCR Altach W a 56% chance, the draw 21% and Sudburgenland W 24%, so SCR Altach W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 3.6 for SCR Altach W and 2.0 for Sudburgenland W (5.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 3-1. There is a 80% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 66% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, SCR Altach W are averaging 1.22 points per game versus 0.44 for Sudburgenland W. This match finished 3-3.

PredictVantage

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