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Flamengo W vs Vitória BA W Prediction— Brazil - Brasileiro Women

Regular Season - 8 ·Saturday, April 25, 2026, 19:00

Flamengo W

PPG 1.33 · HOME

3 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · HOME

Vitória BA W

PPG 0.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

No PPG data

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-00.3%0-10.2%0-20.0%0-30.0%0-4+0.0%1 1-01.5%1-10.9%1-20.2%1-30.0%1-4+0.0%2 2-04.1%2-12.3%2-20.6%2-30.1%2-4+0.0%3 3-07.1%3-14.0%3-21.1%3-30.2%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-044.3%4+-124.6%4+-26.9%4+-31.3%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelOddsEV

Home win 97.3% — —

Draw 2.0% — —

Away win 0.7% — —

Over 2.5 93.1% — —

Over 3.5 83.4% — —

BTTS 42.5% — —

Win probability 1X2

Flamengo W (H) 97.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 2.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Vitória BA W (A) 0.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

League track record ↗

Based on 35 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 43%

O2.5 51%

BTTS 60%

Score Hit 46%

ROI -67.8%

Bet Hit 17%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

4 – 1 71%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 3-1

xG (home)5.3 xG (away)0.6 BTTS prob42.5%

H 97% / xG 5.3-0.6 / O2.5 93% / NoBTTS 42%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 5–0 10.0%

#2 4–0 9.4%

#3 3–0 7.1%

#4 5–1 5.6%

#5 4–1 5.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Flamengo W5.3

Vitória BA W0.6

COMBINED 5.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 93.1% · O3.5 PROB 83.4%

Form & verdict PPG

FLAMENGO W · PPG 1.33

VITÓRIA BA W · PPG 0.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

40%

NEUTRAL

No PPG data

Match Preview & Prediction

Flamengo W face Vitória BA W in Brazil - Brasileiro Women on Saturday, April 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Flamengo W a 97% chance, the draw 2% and Vitória BA W 1%, so Flamengo W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 5.3 for Flamengo W and 0.6 for Vitória BA W (5.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 5-0. There is a 93% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 43% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Flamengo W are averaging 1.33 points per game versus 0.00 for Vitória BA W. This match finished 3-1.

Flamengo W vs Vitória BA W Prediction— Brazil - Brasileiro Women

Match Preview & Prediction

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