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Spain - La Liga Saturday, April 25, 2026 19:00 
Atletico Madrid PPG 2.50 
Athletic Bilbao PPG 0.80
Spain - La Liga Saturday, April 25, 2026 19:00 Atletico Madrid PPG 2.503-2 MISS
Athletic Bilbao PPG 0.80Home· +57.2% 🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned
98% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Model lean: Home
Result: Home
✔
Goals Markets
Over 2.5 64.9% Odds: 1.85 +20.1%
Over 3.5 42.9% Odds: 3.10 +33.0%
BTTS 44.3% Odds: 1.73 -23.4%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS NO → YES ✘
Correct Score Picks
1st 2-0 ✘
2nd 3-0 ✘
3rd 1-0 ✘
4th 2-1 ✘
5th 4-0 ✘
Expected Goals (xG)
Atletico Madrid 2.70
Athletic Bilbao 0.65
Model Suggestion
Home +57.2% ROI TRACKS: Home
Tracked ROI market: Home.
Verdict & Form
🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned
STRONG_HOME 98%
Home team in EXCELLENT form (2.50), Away POOR (0.80) - Strong consensus