Predict
Vantage
Today
Top Picks
Accuracy
Leagues
← Back to picks
Spain - La Liga
Regular Season - 32
Estadio de Mestalla· Valencia
Saturday, April 25, 2026
16:30
Valencia
PPG 1.53
2-1
HIT CS4
Girona
PPG 1.00
Home· +19.0%
✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage
75% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Home
57.2%
Odds: 2.08
EV: +19.0%
Draw
23.3%
Odds: 3.35
EV: -21.9%
Away
19.6%
Odds: 3.40
EV: -33.4%
Model lean:
Home
Result: Home ✔
Goals Markets
Over 2.5
50.6%
Odds: 1.90
-3.9%
Over 3.5
28.6%
Odds: 3.25
-7.0%
BTTS
50.2%
Odds: 1.73
-13.2%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔
BTTS YES → YES ✔
Correct Score Picks
1st
1-0
✘
2nd
1-1
✘
3rd
2-0
✘
4th
2-1
✔
5th
0-0
✘
Expected Goals (xG)
Valencia
1.77
Girona
0.93
Model Suggestion
Home
+19.0%
ROI TRACKS: Home
Tracked ROI market:
Home.
Verdict & Form
✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage
75%
MODERATE_HOME
Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.53) > Away AVERAGE (1.00)