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Spain - La Liga logo Spain flag Spain - La Liga Regular Season - 32 Estadio de Mestalla· Valencia Saturday, April 25, 2026 16:30
Valencia logo Valencia PPG 1.53
2-1 HIT CS4
Girona logo Girona PPG 1.00
Home· +19.0% ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage
75% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 57.2%
Odds: 2.08 EV: +19.0%
Draw 23.3%
Odds: 3.35 EV: -21.9%
Away 19.6%
Odds: 3.40 EV: -33.4%
Model lean: Home
Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 50.6% Odds: 1.90 -3.9%
Over 3.5 28.6% Odds: 3.25 -7.0%
BTTS 50.2% Odds: 1.73 -13.2%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-0
2nd 1-1
3rd 2-0
4th 2-1
5th 0-0

Expected Goals (xG)

Valencia
1.77
Girona
0.93

Model Suggestion

Home +19.0% ROI TRACKS: Home
Tracked ROI market: Home.

Verdict & Form

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage
75%
MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.53) > Away AVERAGE (1.00)

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