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Cherkasy U19 vs Metalist U19 Prediction— Ukraine - U19 League

Regular Season - 25 ·Saturday, April 25, 2026, 14:00

Cherkasy U19

PPG 1.42 · HOME

2 – 0

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · BTTS

Metalist U19

PPG 1.33 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.42), Away AVERAGE (1.33)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.1%0-15.9%0-24.2%0-32.0%0-4+1.0%1 1-07.2%1-110.3%1-27.4%1-33.6%1-4+1.8%2 2-06.3%2-19.1%2-26.5%2-33.1%2-4+1.6%3 3-03.7%3-15.3%3-23.8%3-31.8%3-4+0.9%4+ 4+-02.4%4+-13.5%4+-22.5%4+-31.2%4+-4+0.6%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 45.3% — — —

Draw 23.1% — — —

Away win 31.6% — — —

Over 2.5 62.0% — — —

Over 3.5 39.7% — — —

BTTS 63.2% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 39 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 67%

O2.5 69%

BTTS 64%

Score Hit 41%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 45%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-0

xG (home)1.8 xG (away)1.4 BTTS prob63.2%

H 45% / xG 1.8-1.4 / O2.5 62% / BTTS 63%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.3%

#2 2–1 9.1%

#3 1–2 7.4%

#4 1–0 7.2%

#5 2–2 6.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Cherkasy U191.8

Metalist U191.4

COMBINED 3.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 62.0% · O3.5 PROB 39.7%

Form & verdict PPG

CHERKASY U19 · PPG 1.42

METALIST U19 · PPG 1.33

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.42), Away AVERAGE (1.33)

Win probability 1X2

Cherkasy U19 (H) 45.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 23.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Metalist U19 (A) 31.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Cherkasy U19 face Metalist U19 in Ukraine - U19 League on Saturday, April 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Cherkasy U19 a 45% chance, the draw 23% and Metalist U19 32%, so Cherkasy U19 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.8 for Cherkasy U19 and 1.4 for Metalist U19 (3.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 62% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Cherkasy U19 are averaging 1.42 points per game versus 1.33 for Metalist U19. This match finished 2-0.

Cherkasy U19 vs Metalist U19 Prediction— Ukraine - U19 League

Match Preview & Prediction

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