Stoke City vs Portsmouth Prediction— England - Championship

Match Preview & Prediction

Stoke City face Portsmouth in England - Championship on Saturday, April 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Stoke City a 60% chance, the draw 24% and Portsmouth 16%, so Stoke City are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.7 for Stoke City and 0.7 for Portsmouth (2.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 43% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 42% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Stoke City are averaging 1.50 points per game versus 1.00 for Portsmouth. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +61.6%. This match finished 1-3.