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Sheffield Utd vs Preston Prediction— England - Championship

Regular Season - 45 ·Saturday, April 25, 2026, 14:00

Sheffield Utd

PPG 1.41 · HOME

2 – 3

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · HOME

Preston

PPG 1.18 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

Model probability 55.8% vs bookmaker-implied 61.0%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-06.2%0-16.2%0-23.1%0-31.0%0-4+0.3%1 1-011.1%1-111.0%1-25.5%1-31.8%1-4+0.6%2 2-09.9%2-19.8%2-24.9%2-31.6%2-4+0.5%3 3-05.9%3-15.8%3-22.9%3-31.0%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-03.9%4+-13.9%4+-21.9%4+-30.6%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 55.8% 61.0% 1.64 -8.5%

Draw 23.2% 24.4% 4.10 -4.9%

Away win 20.9% 22.0% 4.55 -4.9%

Over 2.5 52.5% 60.6% 1.65 -13.4%

Over 3.5 30.3% 38.2% 2.62 -20.6%

BTTS 52.4% 59.9% 1.67 -12.5%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 46 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 50%

O2.5 59%

BTTS 46%

Score Hit 54%

ROI -12.7%

Bet Hit 54%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 38%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-3

xG (home)1.8 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob52.4%

H 56% / xG 1.8-1.0 / O2.5 52% / BTTS 52%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–0 11.1%

#2 1–1 11.0%

#3 2–0 9.9%

#4 2–1 9.8%

#5 0–0 6.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Sheffield Utd1.8

Preston1.0

COMBINED 2.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 52.5% · O3.5 PROB 30.3%

Form & verdict PPG

SHEFFIELD UTD · PPG 1.41

PRESTON · PPG 1.18

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.41), Away AVERAGE (1.18)

Win probability 1X2

Sheffield Utd (H) 55.8%

ODDS 1.64 · IMPLIED 61.0% EV -8.5%

Draw 23.2%

ODDS 4.10 · IMPLIED 24.4% EV -4.9%

Preston (A) 20.9%

ODDS 4.55 · IMPLIED 22.0% EV -4.9%

Match Preview & Prediction

Sheffield Utd face Preston in England - Championship on Saturday, April 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Sheffield Utd a 56% chance, the draw 23% and Preston 21%, so Sheffield Utd are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.8 for Sheffield Utd and 1.0 for Preston (2.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 52% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Sheffield Utd are averaging 1.41 points per game versus 1.18 for Preston. This match finished 2-3.

Sheffield Utd vs Preston Prediction— England - Championship

Match Preview & Prediction

More England - Championship Predictions