Wolfsburg vs Monchengladbach Prediction— Germany - Bundesliga

Germany - Bundesliga Regular Season - 31 Volkswagen Arena· Wolfsburg Saturday, April 25, 2026 13:30

Wolfsburg PPG 0.60

0-0 MISS

Monchengladbach PPG 0.87

Away· +13.9% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

42% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Wolfsburg face Monchengladbach in Germany - Bundesliga on Saturday, April 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Wolfsburg a 38% chance, the draw 23% and Monchengladbach 39%, so Monchengladbach are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.7 for Wolfsburg and 1.7 for Monchengladbach (3.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 65% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 66% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Wolfsburg are averaging 0.60 points per game versus 0.87 for Monchengladbach. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +13.9%. This match finished 0-0.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 38.2%

Odds: 2.24 EV: -14.4%

Draw 22.8%

Odds: 3.60 EV: -17.9%

Away 39.0%

Odds: 2.92 EV: +13.9%

Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Draw ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 65.2% Odds: 1.62 +5.6%

Over 3.5 43.2% Odds: 2.55 +10.2%

BTTS 66.1% Odds: 1.50 -0.9%

O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 1-2 ✘

3rd 2-1 ✘

4th 2-2 ✘

5th 0-1 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Wolfsburg

1.67

Monchengladbach

1.69

Model SuggestionBTTS -0.9% EXCLUDED FROM ROI
ROI tracking: excluded — EV is negative (-0.9%), so the model expects this bet to lose money at the offered odds.

League Track Record ↗

Based on 45 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 53%

O2.5/Under 73%

BTTS/No 76%

Score Hit 49%

ROI 1.8%

Bet Hit 63% (16 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home POOR (0.60), Away POOR (0.87)