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Wolfsburg vs Monchengladbach Prediction— Germany - Bundesliga

Matchday 31 ·Saturday, April 25, 2026, 13:30

Wolfsburg

PPG 0.60 · HOME

LAST 5

DLWDL

0 – 0

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · BTTS

Monchengladbach

PPG 0.87 · AWAY

LAST 5

DDWLW

// Model verdict

BTTS 67% chance

Model probability 66.1% vs bookmaker-implied 66.7%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.5%0-15.9%0-25.0%0-32.8%0-4+1.7%1 1-05.8%1-19.8%1-28.3%1-34.7%1-4+2.9%2 2-04.9%2-18.2%2-26.9%2-33.9%2-4+2.4%3 3-02.7%3-14.6%3-23.8%3-32.2%3-4+1.3%4+ 4+-01.6%4+-12.8%4+-22.3%4+-31.3%4+-4+0.8%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 38.2% 44.6% 2.24 -14.4%

Draw 22.8% 27.8% 3.60 -17.9%

Away win 39.0% 34.2% 2.92 +13.9%

Over 2.5 65.2% 61.7% 1.62 +5.6%

Over 3.5 43.2% 39.2% 2.55 +10.2%

BTTS 66.1% 66.7% 1.50 -0.9%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 52 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 58%

O2.5 75%

BTTS 75%

Score Hit 44%

ROI 11.9%

Bet Hit 69%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 48%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-0

xG (home)1.7 xG (away)1.7 BTTS prob66.1%

A 39% / xG 1.7-1.7 / O2.5 65% / BTTS 66%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 9.8%

#2 1–2 8.3%

#3 2–1 8.2%

#4 2–2 6.9%

#5 0–1 5.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Wolfsburg1.7

Monchengladbach1.7

COMBINED 3.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 65.2% · O3.5 PROB 43.2%

Form & verdict PPG

WOLFSBURG · PPG 0.60

MONCHENGLADBACH · PPG 0.87

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

Chance this pick lands

67%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home POOR (0.60), Away POOR (0.87)

Win probability 1X2

Wolfsburg (H) 38.2%

ODDS 2.24 · IMPLIED 44.6% EV -14.4%

Draw 22.8%

ODDS 3.60 · IMPLIED 27.8% EV -17.9%

Monchengladbach (A) 39.0%

ODDS 2.92 · IMPLIED 34.2% EV +13.9%

Match Preview & Prediction

Wolfsburg face Monchengladbach in Germany - Bundesliga on Saturday, April 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Wolfsburg a 38% chance, the draw 23% and Monchengladbach 39%, so Monchengladbach are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.7 for Wolfsburg and 1.7 for Monchengladbach (3.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 65% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 66% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Wolfsburg are averaging 0.60 points per game versus 0.87 for Monchengladbach. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +13.9%. This match finished 0-0.

Wolfsburg vs Monchengladbach Prediction— Germany - Bundesliga

Match Preview & Prediction

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