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Livyi Bereh vs Podillya K. Prediction— Ukraine - Persha Liga

Ukraine - Persha Liga Saturday, April 25, 2026 13:00
Livyi Bereh PPG 2.31
1-0 HIT CS3
Podillya K. PPG 1.00
Home· +5.9% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - 🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned
68% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Livyi Bereh face Podillya K. in Ukraine - Persha Liga on Saturday, April 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Livyi Bereh a 87% chance, the draw 10% and Podillya K. 3%, so Livyi Bereh are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.7 for Livyi Bereh and 0.3 for Podillya K. (3.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 57% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 26% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Livyi Bereh are averaging 2.31 points per game versus 1.00 for Podillya K.. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +5.9%. This match finished 1-0.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 86.8%
Odds: 1.22 EV: +5.9%
Draw 10.4%
Odds: 4.60 EV: -52.2%
Away 2.8%
Odds: 13.00 EV: -63.6%
Model lean: Home
Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 57.4% Odds: —
Over 3.5 35.0% Odds: —
BTTS 25.6% Odds: 2.30 -41.1%
O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS NO → NO ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 2-0
2nd 3-0
3rd 1-0
4th 4-0
5th 2-1

Expected Goals (xG)

Livyi Bereh
2.66
Podillya K.
0.32

Model Suggestion

Home +5.9% ROI TRACKS: Home
Tracked ROI market: Home.

League Track Record

Based on 53 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 47%
O2.5/Under 49%
BTTS/No 59%
Score Hit 53%
ROI 5.2%
Bet Hit 80% (5 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - 🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned
68%
STRONG_HOME

Home team in EXCELLENT form (2.31), Away AVERAGE (1.00) - Strong consensus

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