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Turkgucu M. vs Pipinsried Prediction— Germany - Oberliga - Bayern Süd

Bayern Süd - 31 ·Saturday, April 25, 2026, 13:00

Turkgucu M.

PPG 0.46 · HOME

0 – 0

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · AWAY

Pipinsried

PPG 1.58 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Away

Away momentum: GOOD form (1.58) vs Home POOR (0.46)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.7%0-110.2%0-214.2%0-313.2%0-4+17.9%1 1-01.9%1-15.4%1-27.4%1-36.9%1-4+9.4%2 2-00.5%2-11.4%2-22.0%2-31.8%2-4+2.5%3 3-00.1%3-10.2%3-20.3%3-30.3%3-4+0.4%4+ 4+-00.0%4+-10.0%4+-20.0%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 4.7% — — —

Draw 11.3% — — —

Away win 84.0% — — —

Over 2.5 64.1% — — —

Over 3.5 42.0% — — —

BTTS 38.3% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 26 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 58%

O2.5 62%

BTTS 73%

Score Hit 39%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

0 – 4 73%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-0

xG (home)0.5 xG (away)2.8 BTTS prob38.3%

A 84% / xG 0.5-2.8 / O2.5 64% / NoBTTS 38%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–2 14.2%

#2 0–3 13.2%

#3 0–1 10.2%

#4 0–4 9.1%

#5 1–2 7.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Turkgucu M.0.5

Pipinsried2.8

COMBINED 3.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 64.1% · O3.5 PROB 42.0%

Form & verdict PPG

TURKGUCU M. · PPG 0.46

PIPINSRIED · PPG 1.58

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value

63%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: GOOD form (1.58) vs Home POOR (0.46)

Win probability 1X2

Turkgucu M. (H) 4.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 11.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Pipinsried (A) 84.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Turkgucu M. face Pipinsried in Germany - Oberliga - Bayern Süd on Saturday, April 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Turkgucu M. a 5% chance, the draw 11% and Pipinsried 84%, so Pipinsried are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.5 for Turkgucu M. and 2.8 for Pipinsried (3.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-2. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 38% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Turkgucu M. are averaging 0.46 points per game versus 1.58 for Pipinsried. This match finished 0-0.

Turkgucu M. vs Pipinsried Prediction— Germany - Oberliga - Bayern Süd

Match Preview & Prediction

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