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Kirchanschoring vs Geretsried Prediction— Germany - Oberliga - Bayern Süd

Bayern Süd - 31 ·Saturday, April 25, 2026, 13:00

Kirchanschoring

PPG 2.07 · HOME

1 – 1

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · HOME

Geretsried

PPG 1.14 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

Home team in EXCELLENT form (2.07), Away AVERAGE (1.14) - Strong consensus

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.5%0-12.2%0-21.0%0-30.3%0-4+0.1%1 1-07.1%1-16.2%1-22.7%1-30.8%1-4+0.2%2 2-09.9%2-18.7%2-23.8%2-31.1%2-4+0.3%3 3-09.3%3-18.1%3-23.5%3-31.0%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-013.0%4+-111.3%4+-24.9%4+-31.4%4+-4+0.4%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 77.5% — — —

Draw 13.7% — — —

Away win 8.8% — — —

Over 2.5 71.1% — — —

Over 3.5 50.2% — — —

BTTS 54.6% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 26 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 58%

O2.5 62%

BTTS 73%

Score Hit 39%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 72%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-1

xG (home)2.8 xG (away)0.9 BTTS prob54.6%

H 78% / xG 2.8-0.9 / O2.5 71% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–0 9.9%

#2 3–0 9.3%

#3 2–1 8.7%

#4 3–1 8.1%

#5 1–0 7.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Kirchanschoring2.8

Geretsried0.9

COMBINED 3.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 71.1% · O3.5 PROB 50.2%

Form & verdict PPG

KIRCHANSCHORING · PPG 2.07

GERETSRIED · PPG 1.14

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

66%

STRONG_HOME

Home team in EXCELLENT form (2.07), Away AVERAGE (1.14) - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

Kirchanschoring (H) 77.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 13.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Geretsried (A) 8.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Kirchanschoring face Geretsried in Germany - Oberliga - Bayern Süd on Saturday, April 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Kirchanschoring a 78% chance, the draw 14% and Geretsried 9%, so Kirchanschoring are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.8 for Kirchanschoring and 0.9 for Geretsried (3.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 71% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Kirchanschoring are averaging 2.07 points per game versus 1.14 for Geretsried. This match finished 1-1.

Kirchanschoring vs Geretsried Prediction— Germany - Oberliga - Bayern Süd

Match Preview & Prediction

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