Al Gharafa vs Al Shahaniya Prediction— Qatar - Stars League

Qatar - Stars League Regular Season - 22 Thani bin Jassim Stadium· Doha Monday, April 27, 2026 14:15

Al Gharafa PPG 2.10

1-1 HIT MostLikelyScore

Al Shahaniya PPG 0.70

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

55% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Al Gharafa face Al Shahaniya in Qatar - Stars League on Monday, April 27, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Al Gharafa a 46% chance, the draw 28% and Al Shahaniya 25%, so Al Gharafa are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.9 for Al Gharafa and 1.2 for Al Shahaniya (3.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 59% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 59% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Al Gharafa are averaging 2.10 points per game versus 0.70 for Al Shahaniya. This match finished 1-1.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 46.3%

Odds: — EV: —

Draw 28.3%

Odds: — EV: —

Away 25.4%

Odds: — EV: —

Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Draw ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 59.0% Odds: — —

Over 3.5 38.1% Odds: — —

BTTS 58.5% Odds: — —

O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✔

2nd 2-1 ✘

3rd 2-0 ✘

4th 1-0 ✘

5th 3-1 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Al Gharafa

1.95

Al Shahaniya

1.18

Model SuggestionOver 2.5  MODEL ONLY
ROI tracking: odds not available yet, so this is a model suggestion only.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

55%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.10) vs P(Home)=46.3%