HSV Hoek vs Jong Almere C. Prediction & Tips

← Back to picks

Netherlands - Tweede Divisie Regular Season - 31 Sportpark Denoek· Hoek Saturday, April 25, 2026 12:30

HSV Hoek PPG 1.93

4-0 MISS

Jong Almere C. PPG 1.00

Away· -2.8% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

55% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 53.9%

Odds: 1.60 EV: -13.8%

Draw 21.9%

Odds: 4.00 EV: -12.4%

Away 24.3%

Odds: 4.00 EV: -2.8%

Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 62.4% Odds: — —

Over 3.5 40.2% Odds: — —

BTTS 61.5% Odds: 1.40 -13.9%

O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 2-1 ✘

3rd 1-0 ✘

4th 2-0 ✘

5th 3-1 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

HSV Hoek

1.96

Jong Almere C.

1.26

Model SuggestionOver 2.5  EXCLUDED FROM ROI
ROI tracking: excluded — EV is negative (—), so the model expects this bet to lose money at the offered odds.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

55%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.93) vs P(Home)=53.9%